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[TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillThe sun continues to behave in ways not seen in modern scientific history.
Nobody interested in such things says nowt. Now the guardians have started moving the goalposts. Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at historically low levels (about non existent) and the new cycle refusing to start - now arguably 1 year + late and no sign. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/ /CONSPIRACY THEORY - THE CATCHER IN THE RYE/NOAA DOESN'T WANT YOU TO KNOW THAT THE SUN HAS GONE OUT* AND HAVE STARTED FUDGING THEIR GRAPHS. / No Change. An interesting thing is that NOAA suddenly started fudging part of their graphs! - it seems they don't want people to know that the current results are far far outside projections. Up until December's data (published early January) the prediction high/low bounds were plotted. A reference was given to another page where the basis of the predictions was discussed. The reference is unchanged and the page of explanations is unchanged BUT the bounds curves suddenly jumped sideways about 5 months on the January graph. The graphs are usually updated a few days into the following month.BUT the January data didn't appear until about 3 weeks into February - something I've not seen before. And, when the graphs did appear they had the shifted bounds. SO I emailed the NOAA space prediction people and was told that from now on they would just be shifting the curve arbitrarily sideways to suit how things looked. I asked about the discussion on the related page but they didn't comment. So I sent them a more detailed comment and pointed out that the old curves were of some use, but the new curves had no basis in fact, even though the page said that they did. After several days with no comment on this I sent a comment to another higher/different NOAA email address gained from their contact page, pointing out the 'problems". No response yet. I wait with eager anticipation their ongoing forays into new science. __________ EVEN WORSE CONSPIRACY THEORY. This is more towards SciFi / Nature is ganging up on us. Doesn't mean it may not be true ;-). * yeah. I know. Of course it hasn't gone out. probably. :-). But it sure is acting weird like. Some other indicators are showing increasing signs of anomalous behaviour. Others seem fairy constant. Maybe it's time to start digging a bunker underneath my swimming pool? I wonder what the price of lead is like these days? I ... Really though - best outlandish guess seems to be a trend towards continuing low activity with a consequent fall in solar field > rise in celestial incoming gamma rays > increased atmospheric aerosols > aerosols > more clouds > higher albedo > more cooling > global cooling. Good fun theory anyway. Should see a trend within a year or few at this rate. Stay tuned. Sequester your carbon while ye may. If things happen as they may, although it does seem outlandishly unlikely, 10 or so years from now you'll be able to get credits for burning carbon. Hopefully, the fact that the next iceage was statistically and historically due at about the time of Christ's nativity, and is now about 2000 years overdue, has got nothing to do with things. Some suggest that the Roman's saved us all, with their localised spurt of industry and CO2 giving the about to flip system enough of a kick to keep it stable for about another 2000 years or so - so far, anyway :-). While some people would love to see thousands of feet of ice on NY, I feel that a need for me to move to, say, Northern Australia, would be very sad. Bali may not be quite so bad. Russell 6 Feb 2009 Remember who told you first. Forget it all if I prove to be wrong :-) _________________________ 1st email to NOAA SWPC: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Centre. Your web page http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/ shows the ongoing "ISES Solar Cycle Sunspot Number Progression", and includes prediction bounds. It is intimated on this page that the prediction bounds are based on the May 2 2008 prediction update. [This is not actually absolutely stated but this is the very clear conclusion liable to be drawn by anyone who would be interested in looking at this page.] Your page http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/SC24/index.html explains the basis of the May 2 2008 predictions. Up until the December 31st graph update the prediction curves have remained consistent for some months, apart from predictions prior to the current date being removed. [I personally think that leaving the prior prediction curves in place would be useful, but that's not what I'm writing about.] On the January 31st graph update (altered on February 24th) the prediction curves appear to have been have been time shifted 'right' by about 5 months* but the claimed prediction dates have not altered and the prediction page has not changed. You may wish to either move the prediction curves back to their prior location or, if the basis of prediction has in fact changed, update the prediction note on the graph and the data on the prediction page. regards Russell McMahon New Zealand. * Based solely on visual inspection the curves appear to be slightly different in shape than previously and may represent a whole new set of predictions. The much longer than usual delay in publishing the prior month's data suggests that major changes may have been made. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillRussell McMahon wrote:
> The sun continues to behave in ways not seen in modern scientific > history. Nobody interested in such things says nowt. > > Now the guardians have started moving the goalposts. > > Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at > historically low levels (about non existent) and the new cycle > refusing to start - now arguably 1 year + late and no sign. Of course. It doesn't make sense to invest in a new cycle in the middle of a recession. ******************************************************************** Embed Inc, Littleton Massachusetts, http://www.embedinc.com/products (978) 742-9014. Gold level PIC consultants since 2000. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillOn Mar 5, 2009, at 5:56 AM, Olin Lathrop wrote: > Russell McMahon wrote: >> The sun continues to behave in ways not seen in modern scientific >> history. Nobody interested in such things says nowt. >> >> Now the guardians have started moving the goalposts. >> >> Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at >> historically low levels (about non existent) and the new cycle >> refusing to start - now arguably 1 year + late and no sign. > > Of course. It doesn't make sense to invest in a new cycle in the > middle of > a recession. What next? Will the Sun need a bailout package, too? ;-) Nate -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillRussell McMahon wrote:
> The sun continues to behave in ways not seen in modern scientific > history. Nobody interested in such things says nowt. > > Now the guardians have started moving the goalposts. > > Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at > historically low levels (about non existent) and the new cycle > refusing to start - now arguably 1 year + late and no sign. >Russell, Russell, Be very carefull with interpreting sunspot numbers (which is something very different forom the number of sunspots) Seel also the latest Solar Opdate column on the ARRL website: http://www.arrl.org/news/stories/2009/03/06/10688/?nc=1 Your " moving the goalposts" opbservation is also explained. Nothing sinister there :-) Regards, Minto Witteveen -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still>> The sun continues to behave in ways not seen in modern scientific
>> history. Nobody interested in such things says nowt. >> Now the guardians have started moving the goalposts. >> Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at >> historically low levels (about non existent) and the new cycle >> refusing to start - now arguably 1 year + late and no sign. > Russell, > Be very carefull with interpreting sunspot numbers (which is something > very > different forom the number of sunspots) Actually, not "very different from" - just "different from" - it's an attempt to deal with the way that sunspots tend to cluster - presumably on the basis that a number of close sunspots tend to have a common source / cause so the groups are given more weighting than individual spots by a factor of 10. This leads to the ERRONEOUS impression that is given on that ARRL page that the number is NOT an indicator of activity, when in fact it's an attempt to produce an activity indicator for spotty data (groan). ie at times of VERY VERY VERY low sunspot activity, such as now, and the last year or so, it is often possible to identify number of groups and number of spots just by looking at the number. eg 12 = 1 + 2. 24 = 2+4. But, of course, when at more typical levels (eg 90%+ of the time previously, then the result is not so easy to adduce. eg a sunspot number of 65 cannot mean 6 groups and 5 total spots. So at most their can be 5 groups = 5 + 15. BUT there may be 4 groups = 4 + 25, or 3 + 35. For high numbers it gets very uncertain BUT the aim never was to convey groups + spots numbers with the index - it was and is intended as an activity indicator. The 1:10 weighting is presumably an empirical ratio that just happens to "work" in periods of low activity. It was devised over 160 years ago (in 1848) and is still being used, so his empirical constants can't have been too too bad. Sunspot number = a x (bx groups + all_spots) a <= 1, b = 10. What makes that ARRL page even wronger is that there is also a multiplier added to the calculation (a above) for how good or bad your observing equipment is, how good your eyes are, how long you have been staring at the sun, ... Well, the first anyway - ie observing situation. This "scaling factor" can vary results by perhaps 20% without people minding too much - the aim is to get a consistent result withing\ the same record. But that means cross comparison between records needs to be done with care. AND the ARRL man seems to be trying to be the sort of person who encourages conspiracy theorists - by seeming to make up soothing theories of his own as he foes along. Nothing excites conspiracy theorists more than being offered "manifestly flimsy" [tm] excuses. ie he invokes " ... a daily financial news organ grossly misquoted an astrophysicist, claiming he ..." and thereby dismisses the "fact" [tm] that there are numerous crank.. er scientists 'out there' who are quir\te happily holding quite similar theories without having to rely on said financial organ or physicist. Gargoyling for the Maunder minimum maudlin meanderings (just the 1st two please) will turn up all the discussion and conspiracy theories desired. Also some good science. As is generally well known by all and sundry by now, a period of very very very low sunspot activity AND thus sunspot number on the 1800's (when ~ 0 + 0 = 00 was the order of the day for years) corresponded to an exceptionally low decades long low temperature period in Europe when the Thames froze at London and a large percentage of Scandinavians died. There are arguments that this was a geographically localised effect, and that may be so (and even if it was the base cause MAY have been correlated with sunspot activity) but true or not, it's not something that one scientist and one financial organ brought about. As I noted in my original post, there are theories of how sunspot activity MIGHT correlate with earth's weather conditions. Gargoyle knows should anyone care to know. I also noted (or was that only to NOAA?) that SOME of the other indicators (proton end electron energies, Hydrogen line RF, ...) are also producing somewhat anomalous results while others are not. ie the sun is doing something interesting but not utterly absolutely different than normal, As for moving the goalposts, at least they now have a message saying that they are doing so. But the explanation given, while an adequate statement of what they are doing, is a poor explanation of what the graphs represent. It is probably not reasonable to assume the same max and min as they assumed before, the rate of change is almost certainly going to be different and in fact anything else may well happen. The "most scientific" choices available to them are to either leave the old indicators in place - which shows how unexpected the current results are, or remove the indicators totally from now on because their is as yet no better scientifically based idea of what is expected to happen. Just sliding the old curves across is worse than useless. Whatever. > Seel also the latest Solar Opdate column on the ARRL website: > http://www.arrl.org/news/stories/2009/03/06/10688/?nc=1 I seen :-) > Your " moving the goalposts" opbservation is also explained. Nothing > sinister there :-) As above, maybe just stupidity and lack of rigour. But I am sceptical about the 'deep silence' from the keepers of the norm, who are far from silent when reality's sometimes apparently random fluctuations seem to confirm their pet theories :-). The sea ice has interesting things to say (record thaws, record freezes) but nobody can with certainty yet say what it's saying. 1000+ feet of ice over NY city, or 15+ feet of water over Florida should settle it one way or the other :-). Russell -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillOn Mar 7, 2009, at 8:38 AM, Russell McMahon wrote: > The sea ice has interesting things to say (record thaws, record > freezes) but > nobody can with certainty yet say what it's saying. 1000+ feet of > ice over > NY city, or 15+ feet of water over Florida should settle it one way > or the > other :-). My favorite quote for this is: "The people who can't tell us if it's going to rain with any certainty this Friday, are the same people saying we all need to drive Prius cars or the world's coming to an end." :-) Nate -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still> Actually, not "very different from" - just "different from" - it's an
> attempt to deal with the way that sunspots tend to cluster - presumably on > the basis that a number of close sunspots tend to have a common source / > cause so the groups are given more weighting than individual spots by a > factor of 10. Okay.. Well it looks like my assumption on that part was way off, you obviously have studied the subject extensively J. But... > AND the ARRL man seems to be trying to be the sort of person who > encourages > conspiracy theorists - by seeming to make up soothing theories of his own > as > he foes along. Nothing excites conspiracy theorists more than being > offered > "manifestly flimsy" [tm] excuses. I still wonder about your conspiracy suspicions. To me it seems exceptionally unlikely that worldwide al the solar "experts" are conspiring together to keep the rest of us in the dark about upcoming disaster.. > organ or physicist. Gargoyling for the Maunder minimum maudlin meanderings > (just the 1st two please) will turn up all the discussion and conspiracy > theories desired. Also some good science. As is generally well known by > all > and sundry by now, a period of very very very low sunspot activity AND > thus > sunspot number on the 1800's (when ~ 0 + 0 = 00 was the order of the day > for years) corresponded to an exceptionally low decades long low > temperature > period in Europe when the Thames froze at London and a large percentage of > Scandinavians died. There are arguments that this was a geographically > localised effect, and that may be so (and even if it was the base cause > MAY > have been correlated with sunspot activity) but true or not, it's not > something that one scientist and one financial organ brought about. A new Maunder minimum MAY be upcoming, but with our very limited knowledge it's impossible to predict at this moment. There have been other periods of prolonged low solar activity at least comparable the the current state of the sun (both sunspot number AND number of sunspots J), for instance somewhere in the beginning of the 20th century. The next cycle was then just slightly below average (as I remember. And not form personal experience of course). I think our knowledge of the inner workings of the sun and its direct effect on our pale blue dot is so limited that we cannot even determine with certainty that there is an anomaly at all.. > I also noted (or was that only to NOAA?) that SOME of the other indicators > (proton end electron energies, Hydrogen line RF, ...) are also producing > somewhat anomalous results while others are not. ie the sun is doing > something interesting but not utterly absolutely different than normal, Quite. > As for moving the goalposts, at least they now have a message saying that > they are doing so. But the explanation given, while an adequate statement > of > what they are doing, is a poor explanation of what the graphs represent. > It > is probably not reasonable to assume the same max and min as they assumed > before, the rate of change is almost certainly going to be different and > in > fact anything else may well happen. The "most scientific" choices > available > to them are to either leave the old indicators in place - which shows how > unexpected the current results are, or remove the indicators totally from > now on because their is as yet no better scientifically based idea of what > is expected to happen. Just sliding the old curves across is worse than > useless. Whatever. > As above, maybe just stupidity and lack of rigour. But I am sceptical > about > the 'deep silence' from the keepers of the norm, who are far from silent > when reality's sometimes apparently random fluctuations seem to confirm > their pet theories :-). Stupidity I think not. But not understanding the process, while trying to explain it anyhow AND making predictions based on not understanding... Minto Witteveen. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillHi!
> I still wonder about your conspiracy suspicions. To me it seems > exceptionally unlikely that worldwide al the solar "experts" are conspiring > together to keep the rest of us in the dark about upcoming disaster.. Asking about the sunspots to a solar astrophysics (where I work), he told me that the spots has about 6 months of delay for what is predicted (based only on the past cycles, as each one is completely different in the details from each other). Usually the start of them has a big slope, which does not happens yet with this expected new one. He said there are currently two theories: a) We are moving towards a minimum, like Maunder's one. b) The next cycle will start, as usual, but its maximum will be THE maximum so far. About how this will affect Earth temperature, disregarding the human activity, he says Earth temperature behavior is not symmetrical in respect to solar activity, i.e., less activity means lower temps. range than higher activity. Also, they are not thinking - yet - on ringing the alarm :-) -- Diego. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still>Hi!
> >> I still wonder about your conspiracy suspicions. To me it seems >> exceptionally unlikely that worldwide al the solar "experts" are conspiring >> together to keep the rest of us in the dark about upcoming disaster.. > >Asking about the sunspots to a solar astrophysics (where I work), he >told me that the spots has about 6 months of delay for what is >predicted (based only on the past cycles, as each one is completely >different in the details from each other). Usually the start of them >has a big slope, which does not happens yet with this expected new >one. > >He said there are currently two theories: > > a) We are moving towards a minimum, like Maunder's one. > b) The next cycle will start, as usual, but its maximum will be THE >maximum so far. As an amateur radio operator, we're often talking about solar activity, or more often lately, complaining about the *lack* of solar activity. I've been into radio since 1978, so I've been through a few solar cycles. I regularly check the various predictions of the upcoming cycle, and while they are being modified, I'm not sure how much of that is nefarious, and how much is just the usual "hmm, things seem to be running behind, let's push things back again". Many of the sunspots being detected are still old Cycle 23 polarity. I regularly visit http://www.spaceweather.com/ where I am greeted with a picture of a blank sun, and a mention that the holographic image from the back of the sun also shows no sunspots. From my purely amateur (no pun intended) perspective, professionals don't have all that much data to work with (23 solar cycles, many of which occurred during a period of "low" activity, plus whatever data they can glean from tree rings and whatever else). There's lots of theories about how solar cycles work, most of which seem to be "we have no idea how this works, but it kinda/sorta fits the data". If there are long term (several hundred year) cycles involved, we don't have the data to detect them. -- --- Chris Smolinski Black Cat Systems http://www.blackcatsystems.com -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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RE: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillLooks like a big tasty 'Nilla Wafer, doesn't it? :-)
<http://www.spaceweather.com/images2009/18mar09/midi512_blank.gif?PHPSESSID= 2n3qpghuarjcctt5bcpveovus1> New hams just don't know what it's like to hear 10 meters filled with wall-to-wall JA's... yet... Nate -----Original Message----- From: piclist-bounces@... [mailto:piclist-bounces@...] On Behalf Of Chris Smolinski Sent: Wednesday, March 18, 2009 9:24 AM To: Microcontroller discussion list - Public. Subject: Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still Many of the sunspots being detected are still old Cycle 23 polarity. I regularly visit http://www.spaceweather.com/ where I am greeted with a picture of a blank sun, and a mention that the holographic image from the back of the sun also shows no sunspots. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillLatest from "Space Weather" below.
They say that 2008's "no spots for 73% of the time" was a 95 year low, but they don't say what no spots for 87% of the time is. Maintaining a rolling year comparison may be interestinf. Russell _________________ Space Weather News for April 2, 2009 http://spaceweather.com SPOTLESS SUNS: Yesterday, NASA announced that the sun has plunged into the deepest solar minimum in nearly a century. Sunspots have all but vanished and consequently the sun has become very quiet. In 2008, the sun had no spots 73% of the time, a 95-year low. In 2009, sunspots are even more scarce, with the "spotless rate" jumping to 87%. We are currently experiencing a stretch of 25 continuous days uninterrupted by sunspots--and there's no end in sight. This is a big event, but it is not unprecedented. Similarly deep solar minima were common in the late-19th and early-20th centuries, and each time the sun recovered with a fairly robust solar maximum. That's probably what will happen in the present case, although no one can say for sure. This is the first deep solar minimum of the Space Age, and the first one we have been able to observe using modern technology. Is it like others of the past? Or does this solar minimum have its own unique characteristics that we will discover for the first time as the cycle unfolds? These questions are at the cutting edge of solar physics. You can monitor the progress of solar minimum with a new "Spotless Days Counter" on spaceweather.com. Instead of counting sunspots, we're counting no sunspots. Daily updated totals tell you how many spotless days there have been in a row, in this year, and in the entire solar cycle. Comparisons to historical benchmarks put it all in perspective. Visit http://spaceweather.com for data. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillOn Thu, Mar 5, 2009 at 1:23 PM, Russell McMahon <apptech@...> wrote:
> Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at historically low > levels (about non existent) and the new cycle refusing to start - now > arguably 1 year + late and no sign. Hi! First sunspot so far :-) ftp://ftp.iac.es/out/sunspot/ Cheers, Diego. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still>> Latest sunspot figures still have the sunspot activity at historically
>> low >> levels (about non existent) and the new cycle refusing to start - now >> arguably 1 year + late and no sign. > Hi! > First sunspot so far :-) > ftp://ftp.iac.es/out/sunspot/ That's looking more real than anything for quite a while. Daily summary for last quarter here. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/quar_DSD.txt Note that sunspot number begines with 2. 23 = 2 regions with 3 "spotlets". No other 2x reading in last quarter. 14th May had a 18 (1 area with 8 spotlets) and others have been mid 1x. Maybe the sun is waking up again, at last. Maybe. Russell -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still> Maybe the sun is waking up again, at last.
> Maybe. AF 447 ? -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillDepartures from the perceived norm are interesting, however
shallow the database. Perhaps we'll live to understand it :) -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - stillLooks like the sun may be awakening ...
http://tinyurl.com/nqpox8 Sunspots Ahoy ... my colleagues will be pleased. -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still>> 2009/7/4 Alan B. Pearce Alan.B.Pearce@...
>> Looks like the sun may be awakening ... >> http://tinyurl.com/nqpox8 >> Sunspots Ahoy ... my colleagues will be pleased. But, no. That proved to be a temporay aberration in a consistent assymptote towards a very dead sun indeed. The sun is still continuing it's downwards activity plod. It's very hard to plod towards zero when you are already bumping along zero. And still "the establishment" says largely nowt *. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/ What part of "gone out" don't we und ... No, of course it hasn't. But it is surely doing something vastly unusual. * Not quite true. Some are now saying things like (non verbatim) "while the trend in manmade global warming is continuing, it is being masked in the short term by natural cyclical variations in solar output and we can expect that warming may not 'get back on track' for a decade ot so but every care must be taken to keep up efforts to combat arming so that we aren't caught out when the short term solar fluctuation ends ...". All of which may well be true. And may not. And nobody really knows. but you won't have any problem getting people to take your money and giving an expert opinion in either direction. Very interesting graph though. _________________ Apposite abstract here. It would be interesting to see what they made of the current cycle. http://www.springerlink.com/content/576167w517041j37/ > Looks like the sun may be awakening ... > > http://tinyurl.com/nqpox8 > > Sunspots Ahoy ... my colleagues will be pleased. > -- > http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive > View/change your membership options at > http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist > http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still>>> 2009/7/4 Alan B. Pearce Alan.B.Pearce@...
>>> Looks like the sun may be awakening ... >>> http://tinyurl.com/nqpox8 >>> Sunspots Ahoy ... my colleagues will be pleased. >But, no. >That proved to be a temporay aberration in a consistent >assymptote towards a very dead sun indeed. >The sun is still continuing it's downwards activity plod. >It's very hard to plod towards zero when you are already >bumping along zero. Doesn't matter now anyway ... ISRO have lost contact with their space craft, on which "my" instrument was carried ... Boo hoo ... -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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Re: [TECH]:: The sun has gone out - still>The sun is still continuing it's downwards activity plod.
>It's very hard to plod towards zero when you are already >bumping along zero. Doesn't matter now anyway ... ISRO have lost contact with their space craft, on which "my" instrument was carried ... Boo hoo ... Sad. But, all our children have to leave hpme and make a life of their own. Think of what fun it will be having. When did it get lost? ____________ Current sunspot data at end. 5th column. Lots of 0's. Sunspot number = areas x 10 + spotlets. So 14 = 1 area with 4 small spots. 25 = 2 areas + 5 spotlets total. eg 34 = obscure could be 3 + 4 or 2 + 14 ... BUT since October 2nd its 0 x 10 + 0 = 0and the burst in late September hardly put a blip on the graph. Start hoarding carbon :-). It may be worth its weight in, er, diamonds in a few years time. Russell # Sunspot Stanford GOES10 # Radio SESC Area Solar X-Ray ------ Flares ------ # Flux Sunspot 10E-6 New Mean Bkgd X-Ray Optical # Date 10.7cm Number Hemis. Regions Field Flux C M X S 1 2 3 #--------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2009 09 13 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 14 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 15 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 16 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 17 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 18 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 19 71 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 20 71 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 21 72 11 10 1 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 22 75 26 70 1 -999 A1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 23 76 31 140 0 -999 A1.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 24 75 32 180 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2009 09 25 72 25 80 0 -999 A0.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 26 72 14 60 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 27 72 11 10 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 28 73 11 10 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 29 72 14 40 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 09 30 72 11 10 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 01 72 11 10 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 02 72 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 03 72 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 04 71 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 05 70 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 06 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 07 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 08 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 09 69 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 10 70 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 11 70 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 10 12 70 0 0 0 -999 A0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 > >The sun is still continuing it's downwards activity plod. > >It's very hard to plod towards zero when you are already > >bumping along zero. > > Doesn't matter now anyway ... ISRO have lost contact with their space craft, > on which "my" instrument was carried ... > > Boo hoo ... > > -- > http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive > View/change your membership options at > http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist -- http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist |
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